Everything can be explained better when you use stick figures.

In: Current Events

The Secret Life of Polling Error

The polls are messed up. But what does that mean?

The first sign that something had gone horribly wrong was the hair.

Point Leads and Polls

Poll Shift and Partisan States

  1. This should come as no surprise because of the earlier graphs we looked at, but the poll predictions for most states are blueshifted, and not by a small amount.
  2. Polls are blueshifted more in states where there are fewer democrats.
  3. Both Maryland and D.C., which are Democratic strongholds, are redshifted by several points.

Let’s Talk about Georgia

Footnotes

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James Horton, Ph.D

Social scientist and world traveler. 1x top writer. Alaskan, twice. Follow if you like long(ish) articles. Need a ghostwriter? streambank.analytics@gmail.com.